HOUSTON
COUGARSHOU
23-4 | Road
56
KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
20-7 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
JAYHAWKS
100%
COUGARS
--
JAYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
HOU By 1-7 points
27.2%
HOU By 8-14 points
20.1%
KU By 1-7 points
21.6%
KU By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
82
HOUSTON
Kansas
79
KANSAS
Simulated Score
Houston
68
HOUSTON
Kansas
71
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jayhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Jayhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
KU @ HOU
47 - 69
Feb 23, 2026
HOU @ KU
56 - 69
Mar 3, 2025
KU @ HOU
59 - 65
Jan 25, 2025
HOU @ KU
92 - 86
Mar 9, 2024
KU @ HOU
46 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.6% more
Kansas: 4.9
vs
Houston: 4.0
Steals (L5)
+20.5% more
Kansas: 5.1
vs
Houston: 4.3
Turnovers (L5)
+18.0% more
Kansas: 11.1
vs
Houston: 9.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
Kansas: 80.3%
vs
Houston: 73.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
82.0
56
KU Score
79.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 32.7
41.0 / 21.0
Assists
13.3 / 13.6
11.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.9 / 4.0
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 41.2
44.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
80.3 / 73.8
90.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 37.3
38.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.1 / 4.3
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 9.4
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
KU
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
18-19-0
(48.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -0.9
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
HOU
KU
HOU
ML
57%
20-15
70%
26-11
68%
21-10
68%
23-11
ATS
49%
17-18
70%
26-11
68%
21-10
68%
23-11
TTL
60%
21-14
59%
22-15
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
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