Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Golden Grizzlies MILW @ OAK

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

11-18  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sun, Feb 22 • 3:00 PM ET
OU Credit Union O'rena
View Odds Details →

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

14-14  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
PANTHERS --
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Oakland)
PanthersMILW (-3.5) 0 Golden GrizzliesOAK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

24.2%

Golden Grizzlies Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OAK -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)

MILW By 1-7 points

15.3%

MILW By 8-14 points

5.8%

OAK By 1-7 points

26.2%

OAK By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
71
MILWAUKEE
78
OAKLAND
Simulated Score
72
MILWAUKEE
75
OAKLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 MILW @ OAK 70 - 81
Jan 15, 2026 OAK @ MILW 73 - 60
Mar 6, 2025 OAK @ MILW 72 - 64
Feb 27, 2025 OAK @ MILW 66 - 71
Jan 2, 2025 MILW @ OAK 49 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +19.1%
Oakland: 84.0% vs Milwaukee: 64.9%
Blocks (L5) +14.0% more
Oakland: 4.8 vs Milwaukee: 4.2
Turnovers (L5) +11.4% more
Oakland: 11.2 vs Milwaukee: 10.1
Assists (L5) +9.4% more
Milwaukee: 14.1 vs Oakland: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MILW Score 71.0 70
OAK Score 78.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.5 / 37.4 50.0 / 31.0
Assists 12.8 / 14.1 19.0 / 19.0
Blocks 4.8 / 4.2 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 46.7 52.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 84.0 / 64.9 65.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 33.0 30.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.7 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 10.1 9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
OAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
OAK Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OAK
MILW
OAK
MILW
ML
62% 20-12
50% 16-16
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
ATS
50% 16-16
47% 15-17
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
TTL
62% 20-12
59% 19-13
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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