UCF
KNIGHTSUCF
18-7 | Road
73
UTAH
UTESUTAH
10-16 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
UTES
0%
KNIGHTS
--
UTES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
UCF By 1-7 points
23.0%
UCF By 8-14 points
12.2%
UTAH By 1-7 points
26.8%
UTAH By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
UCF
73
UCF
Utah
75
UTAH
Simulated Score
UCF
72
UCF
Utah
75
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Utes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Utes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Utes (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Utes (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
UCF @ UTAH
73 - 71
Mar 11, 2025
UCF @ UTAH
87 - 72
Feb 23, 2025
UTAH @ UCF
72 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+8.6% more
Utah: 12.1
vs
UCF: 11.1
Rebounding (L5)
+8.6% more
Utah: 35.5
vs
UCF: 32.7
Steals (L5)
+22.3% more
UCF: 6.5
vs
Utah: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+18.8% more
UCF: 14.3
vs
Utah: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCF Score
73.0
73
UTAH Score
75.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 35.7
35.0 / 44.0
Assists
11.6 / 14.3
18.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.4
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.3 / 44.3
49.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 83.5
100.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 32.7
29.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.0 / 6.5
2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.1
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
UTAH
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCF
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
UTAH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.2
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
UCF
UTAH
UCF
ML
56%
18-14
55%
18-15
67%
20-10
65%
20-11
ATS
56%
18-14
55%
18-15
67%
20-10
65%
20-11
TTL
41%
13-19
61%
20-13
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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