Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seahawks @ Fighting Camels UNCW @ CAM

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

23-4  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 4:00 PM ET
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

13-14  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
📊
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
SEAHAWKS --
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Campbell)
SeahawksUNCW (-3.5) 0 Fighting CamelsCAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

46.0%

Fighting Camels Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

UNCW By 1-7 points

24.3%

UNCW By 8-14 points

13.7%

CAM By 1-7 points

26.2%

CAM By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
68
UNC WILMINGTON
69
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
68
UNC WILMINGTON
72
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Camels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Fighting Camels (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 CAM @ UNCW 85 - 70
Feb 21, 2026 UNCW @ CAM 73 - 68
Jan 17, 2026 CAM @ UNCW 75 - 78
Feb 27, 2025 UNCW @ CAM 79 - 60
Jan 4, 2025 CAM @ UNCW 69 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +38.6% more
Campbell: 7.9 vs UNC Wilmington: 5.7
Turnovers (L5) +31.2% more
Campbell: 10.6 vs UNC Wilmington: 8.1
Free Throw % (L5) +9.4%
Campbell: 77.0% vs UNC Wilmington: 67.6%
Blocks (L5) +20.8% more
UNC Wilmington: 1.2 vs Campbell: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCW Score 68.0 73
CAM Score 69.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 36.8 41.0 / 35.0
Assists 12.4 / 11.8 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.0 / 1.2 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 42.4 / 43.5 39.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 77.0 / 67.6 79.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 35.0 34.0 / 46.0
Steals 7.9 / 5.7 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 8.1 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
97%MONEY3%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCW
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
UNCW
CAM
UNCW
ML
65% 22-12
64% 21-12
71% 24-10
52% 17-16
ATS
67% 22-11-1
58% 19-14
71% 24-10
52% 17-16
TTL
53% 18-16
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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