CANISIUS
GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN
8-19 | Road
72
RIDER
BRONCSRID
3-22 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
0%
BRONCS
100%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
--
BRONCS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CANISIUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Canisius)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CAN -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAN)
CAN By 1-7 points
25.3%
CAN By 8-14 points
26.2%
RID By 1-7 points
13.7%
RID By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Canisius
75
CANISIUS
Rider
67
RIDER
Simulated Score
Canisius
71
CANISIUS
Rider
75
RIDER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Griffins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Griffins (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Broncs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o131.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
CAN @ RID
72 - 66
Mar 6, 2025
CAN @ RID
50 - 78
Jan 10, 2025
RID @ CAN
67 - 85
Mar 3, 2024
RID @ CAN
65 - 61
Jan 7, 2024
CAN @ RID
76 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+32.2% more
Canisius: 11.9
vs
Rider: 8.0
Assists (L5)
+22.1% more
Canisius: 13.0
vs
Rider: 10.1
Blocks (L5)
+12.2% more
Canisius: 3.5
vs
Rider: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.4%
Canisius: 75.5%
vs
Rider: 66.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAN Score
75.0
72
RID Score
67.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 30.9
29.0 / 35.0
Assists
10.1 / 13.0
11.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.5
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 39.6
39.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
66.1 / 75.5
61.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 31.6
28.0 / 42.0
Steals
6.9 / 3.9
10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.0 / 11.9
5.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN
Advantage
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4%
Total +/-: -3.6
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RID
CAN
RID
CAN
ML
72%
21-8
55%
17-14
66%
19-10
68%
21-10
ATS
72%
21-8
65%
20-11
66%
19-10
68%
21-10
TTL
62%
18-11
58%
18-13
100%
29-0
100%
31-0
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