FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
10-17 | Road
60
CHICAGO STATE
COUGARSCHST
6-21 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
COUGARS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CHICAGO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Chicago State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHST -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHST)
FDU By 1-7 points
8.0%
FDU By 8-14 points
2.2%
CHST By 1-7 points
20.1%
CHST By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
50
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Chicago State
62
CHICAGO STATE
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
78
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Chicago State
65
CHICAGO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
FDU @ CHST
60 - 59
Jan 8, 2026
CHST @ FDU
63 - 70
Feb 13, 2025
CHST @ FDU
49 - 91
Jan 20, 2025
FDU @ CHST
58 - 48
Jan 10, 2024
CHST @ FDU
75 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+109.3% more
Chicago State: 8.8
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+40.6% more
Chicago State: 13.2
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 9.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.3%
Chicago State: 33.9%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 23.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Chicago State: 43.4%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
50.0
60
CHST Score
62.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 23.6
43.0 / 47.0
Assists
13.2 / 9.4
18.0 / 18.0
Blocks
1.3 / 1.7
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 41.2
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 74.6
76.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 36.5
25.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.8 / 4.2
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.9 / 10.8
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
CHST
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
CHST
Advantage
15-15-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHST
FDU
CHST
FDU
ML
75%
24-8
65%
20-11
73%
22-8
74%
23-8
ATS
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
73%
22-8
74%
23-8
TTL
44%
14-18
58%
18-13
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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