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WILLIAM & MARY

TRIBEW&M

16-10  |  Road

83
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 7:00 PM ET
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

12-14  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
TRIBE
100%
📊
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
TRIBE --
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Campbell)
TribeW&M (-3.5) 0 Fighting CamelsCAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tribe Cover

13.6%

Fighting Camels Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAM -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

W&M By 1-7 points

9.3%

W&M By 8-14 points

2.7%

CAM By 1-7 points

21.6%

CAM By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
78
WILLIAM & MARY
89
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
70
WILLIAM & MARY
72
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Camels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Fighting Camels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u169.5 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u169.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 W&M @ CAM 83 - 84
Jan 31, 2026 CAM @ W&M 104 - 96
Jan 30, 2025 W&M @ CAM 55 - 96
Jan 18, 2024 CAM @ W&M 77 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +46.7% more
Campbell: 8.4 vs William & Mary: 5.7
Free Throw % (L5) +8.1%
Campbell: 79.5% vs William & Mary: 71.4%
Blocks (L5) +81.9% more
William & Mary: 5.2 vs Campbell: 0.9
Assists (L5) +32.7% more
William & Mary: 17.2 vs Campbell: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
W&M Score 78.0 83
CAM Score 89.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.1 / 33.3 45.0 / 36.0
Assists 11.6 / 17.2 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 0.9 / 5.2 1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 49.7 40.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 79.5 / 71.4 72.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 36.0 36.0 / 33.0
Steals 8.4 / 5.7 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 10.5 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
W&M Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
W&M
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -1.8
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
W&M
CAM
W&M
ML
65% 22-12
55% 17-14
71% 24-10
61% 19-12
ATS
67% 22-11-1
63% 19-11-1
71% 24-10
61% 19-12
TTL
53% 18-16
61% 19-12
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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