AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
COUGARS
--
FIGHTING CAMELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Charleston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COFC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
COFC By 1-7 points
21.6%
COFC By 8-14 points
27.4%
CAM By 1-7 points
9.3%
CAM By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston
83
CHARLESTON
Campbell
72
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
Charleston
70
CHARLESTON
Campbell
78
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Fighting Camels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Fighting Camels (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
COFC @ CAM
62 - 57
Jan 22, 2026
CAM @ COFC
83 - 87
Mar 1, 2025
CAM @ COFC
65 - 87
Jan 16, 2025
COFC @ CAM
67 - 61
Feb 29, 2024
CAM @ COFC
73 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+71.9% more
Charleston: 4.9
vs
Campbell: 1.4
Rebounding (L5)
+8.6% more
Charleston: 36.6
vs
Campbell: 33.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Charleston: 77.9%
vs
Campbell: 74.3%
Steals (L5)
+42.0% more
Campbell: 7.0
vs
Charleston: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COFC Score
83.0
62
CAM Score
72.0
57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 28.7
10.0 / 36.0
Assists
13.4 / 12.2
8.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.4 / 4.9
0.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 41.7
35.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 77.9
90.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 36.6
39.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.0 / 5.0
11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 11.5
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
CAM
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
CAM
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
COFC
CAM
COFC
ML
65%
22-12
66%
19-10
71%
24-10
62%
18-11
ATS
67%
22-11-1
59%
17-12
71%
24-10
62%
18-11
TTL
53%
18-16
68%
19-9-1
100%
34-0
100%
29-0