MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
11-16 | Road
69
CANISIUS
GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN
8-18 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
JASPERS
--
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
MANHATTAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Manhattan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MAN -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MAN)
MAN By 1-7 points
21.6%
MAN By 8-14 points
27.4%
CAN By 1-7 points
9.3%
CAN By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Manhattan
77
MANHATTAN
Canisius
66
CANISIUS
Simulated Score
Manhattan
71
MANHATTAN
Canisius
75
CANISIUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jaspers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Griffins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jaspers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Golden Griffins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
MAN @ CAN
69 - 65
Jan 9, 2026
CAN @ MAN
70 - 64
Feb 28, 2025
MAN @ CAN
77 - 72
Mar 9, 2024
CAN @ MAN
73 - 70
Jan 26, 2024
MAN @ CAN
70 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.2% more
Manhattan: 7.6
vs
Canisius: 4.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+19.0%
Manhattan: 85.8%
vs
Canisius: 66.7%
Assists (L5)
+13.7% more
Manhattan: 13.8
vs
Canisius: 11.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Manhattan: 44.5%
vs
Canisius: 39.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MAN Score
77.0
69
CAN Score
66.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 36.4
23.0 / 44.0
Assists
11.9 / 13.8
15.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.7 / 1.9
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
39.4 / 44.5
40.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
66.7 / 85.8
93.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 33.5
31.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.8 / 7.6
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 9.6
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
CAN
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
CAN
Advantage
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAN
MAN
CAN
MAN
ML
55%
17-14
52%
16-15
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
ATS
65%
20-11
52%
16-15
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
TTL
58%
18-13
77%
24-7
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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