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CHICAGO STATE

COUGARSCHST

6-20  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 1:00 PM ET
Ted Grant Court
View Odds Details →

LE MOYNE

DOLPHINSLEM

13-13  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
DOLPHINS
0%
COUGARS --
DOLPHINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
LE MOYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (Le Moyne)
CougarsCHST (-3.5) 0 DolphinsLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

0.0%

Dolphins Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEM -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEM)

CHST By 1-7 points

0.0%

CHST By 8-14 points

0.0%

LEM By 1-7 points

0.0%

LEM By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
56
CHICAGO STATE
104
LE MOYNE
Simulated Score
68
CHICAGO STATE
72
LE MOYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dolphins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dolphins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dolphins (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Sim Dolphins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 CHST @ LEM 63 - 81
Jan 17, 2026 LEM @ CHST 72 - 57
Feb 15, 2025 CHST @ LEM 75 - 80
Jan 18, 2025 LEM @ CHST 72 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +86.7% more
Le Moyne: 16.5 vs Chicago State: 8.8
Blocks (L5) +29.9% more
Le Moyne: 1.9 vs Chicago State: 1.4
Rebounding (L5) +19.9% more
Le Moyne: 36.3 vs Chicago State: 30.3
Assists (L5) +9.9% more
Le Moyne: 14.1 vs Chicago State: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHST Score 56.0 63
LEM Score 104.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.6 / 34.8 44.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.1 / 12.8 22.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.9 / 1.4 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 46.1 53.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 65.0 / 78.5 71.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 30.3 37.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.6 / 8.6 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 16.5 / 8.8 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
18%MONEY82%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHST
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
LEM Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHST
15-15-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
LEM Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEM
CHST
LEM
CHST
ML
68% 21-10
75% 24-8
68% 21-10
73% 22-8
ATS
65% 20-11
69% 22-10
69% 22-10
73% 22-8
TTL
42% 13-18
44% 14-18
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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