CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
11-10 | Road
89
PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
8-15 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
100%
TIGERS
0%
BIG RED
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PRINCETON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Princeton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRIN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRIN)
COR By 1-7 points
21.6%
COR By 8-14 points
10.7%
PRIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
PRIN By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
73
CORNELL
Princeton
76
PRINCETON
Simulated Score
Cornell
72
CORNELL
Princeton
76
PRINCETON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
COR @ PRIN
89 - 65
Jan 30, 2026
PRIN @ COR
64 - 87
Mar 2, 2025
PRIN @ COR
70 - 102
Jan 25, 2025
COR @ PRIN
85 - 76
Mar 2, 2024
COR @ PRIN
77 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+16.6% more
Princeton: 3.7
vs
Cornell: 3.1
Steals (L5)
+65.1% more
Cornell: 8.2
vs
Princeton: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+35.6% more
Cornell: 21.8
vs
Princeton: 14.0
Turnovers (L5)
+22.7% more
Cornell: 10.3
vs
Princeton: 7.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
73.0
89
PRIN Score
76.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 37.4
33.0 / 44.0
Assists
14.0 / 21.8
10.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.1
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 51.8
37.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 76.5
88.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 31.7
27.0 / 34.0
Steals
2.9 / 8.2
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
7.9 / 10.3
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRIN
COR
PRIN
COR
ML
45%
13-16
44%
12-15
62%
18-11
63%
17-10
ATS
48%
14-15
59%
16-11
62%
18-11
63%
17-10
TTL
72%
21-8
78%
21-6
100%
29-0
100%
27-0
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