AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
BRONCOS
100%
REDHAWKS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEA -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-7 points
5.8%
SEA By 8-14 points
15.3%
SCU By 1-7 points
1.1%
SCU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
87
SEATTLE U
Santa Clara
65
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
Seattle U
70
SEATTLE U
Santa Clara
75
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks (-12.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
SEA @ SCU
72 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+56.2% more
Seattle U: 5.0
vs
Santa Clara: 2.2
Turnovers (L5)
+23.4% more
Seattle U: 13.1
vs
Santa Clara: 10.1
Steals (L5)
+46.5% more
Santa Clara: 10.2
vs
Seattle U: 7.0
Assists (L5)
+21.1% more
Santa Clara: 15.0
vs
Seattle U: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
87.0
72
SCU Score
65.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 26.4
37.0 / 45.0
Assists
15.0 / 12.4
20.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.2 / 5.0
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.2 / 39.3
43.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 70.7
81.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 30.7
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
10.2 / 7.0
11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 13.1
3.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
SCU
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
SCU
Advantage
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
SEA
SCU
SEA
ML
44%
15-19
46%
16-19
73%
22-8
71%
24-10
ATS
53%
18-16
57%
20-15
74%
23-8
71%
24-10
TTL
47%
16-18
49%
17-18
100%
31-0
100%
34-0