Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cougars @ Utes HOU @ UTAH

HOUSTON

COUGARSHOU

21-2  |  Road

66
FINAL
Tue, Feb 10 • 9:00 PM ET
Jon M. Huntsman Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTESUTAH

9-14  |  Home

52
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
📊
UTES
100%
COUGARS --
UTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CougarsHOU (-3.5) 0 UtesUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

38.2%

Utes Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

HOU By 1-7 points

27.2%

HOU By 8-14 points

20.1%

UTAH By 1-7 points

21.6%

UTAH By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
83
HOUSTON
80
UTAH
Simulated Score
61
HOUSTON
72
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Utes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Utes (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Utes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 10, 2026 HOU @ UTAH 66 - 52
Jan 22, 2025 UTAH @ HOU 36 - 70
Nov 17, 2023 HOU @ UTAH 76 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +17.5% more
Houston: 15.1 vs Utah: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5) +12.8%
Houston: 80.6% vs Utah: 67.8%
Rebounding (L5) +9.1% more
Houston: 36.4 vs Utah: 33.1
Field Goal % (L5) +6.6%
Houston: 48.5% vs Utah: 42.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOU Score 83.0 66
UTAH Score 80.0 52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 31.6 12.0 / 35.0
Assists 12.4 / 15.1 13.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.3 / 2.9 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 48.5 44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 80.6 71.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 36.4 28.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.9 / 6.4 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 5.5 13.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
98%MONEY2%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
40%MONEY60%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU Advantage
30-7-0 (81.1%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU Advantage
18-19-0 (48.7%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5% Total +/-: -0.9
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
HOU
UTAH
HOU
ML
56% 18-14
70% 26-11
67% 20-10
68% 23-11
ATS
56% 18-14
70% 26-11
67% 20-10
68% 23-11
TTL
41% 13-19
59% 22-15
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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