Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bruins @ Braves BEL @ BRAD

BELMONT

BRUINSBEL

22-3  |  Road

84
FINAL
Mon, Feb 9 • 8:00 PM ET
Carver Arena
View Odds Details →

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

16-9  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
📊
BRAVES
100%
BRUINS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Belmont)
BruinsBEL (-3.5) 0 BravesBRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

69.1%

Braves Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BEL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)

BEL By 1-7 points

27.2%

BEL By 8-14 points

23.0%

BRAD By 1-7 points

18.6%

BRAD By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
93
BELMONT
88
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
68
BELMONT
72
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Braves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o152.5 Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 9, 2026 BEL @ BRAD 84 - 95
Jan 1, 2026 BRAD @ BEL 78 - 88
Feb 5, 2025 BEL @ BRAD 80 - 77
Jan 21, 2025 BRAD @ BEL 89 - 77
Jan 20, 2024 BEL @ BRAD 72 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +46.4% more
Belmont: 20.6 vs Bradley: 11.0
Blocks (L5) +42.0% more
Belmont: 3.8 vs Bradley: 2.2
Field Goal % (L5) +11.8%
Belmont: 52.9% vs Bradley: 41.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.2%
Belmont: 44.8% vs Bradley: 38.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BEL Score 93.0 84
BRAD Score 88.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 44.8 47.0 / 30.0
Assists 11.0 / 20.6 19.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.2 / 3.8 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.2 / 52.9 43.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 78.9 / 60.9 77.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 30.5 34.0 / 46.0
Steals 5.5 / 5.3 7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 11.8 8.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BEL Advantage
26-6-0 (81.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +2.2
BRAD
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BEL Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +2.2
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.1
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
BEL
BRAD
BEL
ML
65% 22-12
47% 15-17
68% 23-11
62% 20-12
ATS
59% 20-14
56% 18-14
68% 23-11
62% 20-12
TTL
68% 23-11
44% 14-18
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 2 hours ago
Oregon Ducks vs. UCLA Bruins: Unbeaten Bruins Invade Autzen as C…
si 2 days, 8 hours ago
UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…
si 5 days, 14 hours ago
Isaiah Marshall's Rocky Start: Kansas QB Shows Flashes but Seeks…
si 1 week, 1 day ago
How the Bruins Stunned the Rangers with a Late Third-Period Outb…
headtopics 1 week, 1 day ago