PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
15-10 | Road
92
PEPPERDINE
WAVESPEPP
6-18 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
WAVES
0%
TIGERS
--
WAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
PEPPERDINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Pepperdine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PEPP -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PEPP)
PAC By 1-7 points
0.5%
PAC By 8-14 points
0.1%
PEPP By 1-7 points
3.3%
PEPP By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Pacific
68
PACIFIC
Pepperdine
93
PEPPERDINE
Simulated Score
Pacific
68
PACIFIC
Pepperdine
80
PEPPERDINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Waves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Waves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Waves (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Waves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
PAC @ PEPP
92 - 59
Jan 4, 2026
PEPP @ PAC
69 - 74
Jan 25, 2025
PAC @ PEPP
44 - 60
Jan 4, 2025
PEPP @ PAC
87 - 70
Mar 7, 2024
PAC @ PEPP
43 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+182.7% more
Pepperdine: 3.1
vs
Pacific: 1.1
Steals (L5)
+9.9% more
Pepperdine: 5.9
vs
Pacific: 5.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.3%
Pepperdine: 80.6%
vs
Pacific: 72.3%
Assists (L5)
+21.2% more
Pacific: 15.4
vs
Pepperdine: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PAC Score
68.0
92
PEPP Score
93.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 35.3
37.0 / 61.0
Assists
12.2 / 15.4
8.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.1 / 1.1
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 47.2
36.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
80.6 / 72.3
57.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 36.9
26.0 / 44.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.4
3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 13.6
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PAC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
PEPP
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
PEPP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PEPP
PAC
PEPP
PAC
ML
62%
20-12
45%
15-18
69%
22-10
80%
24-6
ATS
56%
18-14
55%
18-15
69%
22-10
80%
24-6
TTL
50%
16-16
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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