CLEMSON
TIGERSCLEM
19-4 | Road
77
CALIFORNIA
GOLDEN BEARSCAL
17-6 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
GOLDEN BEARS
0%
TIGERS
--
GOLDEN BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
CALIFORNIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (California)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAL -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAL)
CLEM By 1-7 points
6.8%
CLEM By 8-14 points
1.7%
CAL By 1-7 points
18.6%
CAL By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Clemson
68
CLEMSON
California
81
CALIFORNIA
Simulated Score
Clemson
70
CLEMSON
California
78
CALIFORNIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Bears (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Golden Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
CLEM @ CAL
77 - 55
Jan 4, 2025
CAL @ CLEM
68 - 80
Nov 26, 2022
CLEM @ CAL
67 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.9% more
California: 2.6
vs
Clemson: 2.1
Assists (L5)
+18.1% more
California: 12.6
vs
Clemson: 10.7
Rebounding (L5)
+11.5% more
California: 36.0
vs
Clemson: 32.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
California: 43.3%
vs
Clemson: 38.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLEM Score
68.0
77
CAL Score
81.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.3 / 38.7
31.0 / 46.0
Assists
12.6 / 10.7
7.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.1
0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 46.4
40.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
75.1 / 76.3
87.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 32.3
27.0 / 29.0
Steals
3.6 / 5.5
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 11.3
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLEM
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
CAL
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLEM
16-17-1
(48.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
CAL
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8%
Total +/-: -2.1
CAL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAL
CLEM
CAL
CLEM
ML
61%
20-13
63%
22-13
77%
24-7
72%
23-9
ATS
64%
21-12
71%
25-10
78%
25-7
72%
23-9
TTL
70%
23-10
69%
24-11
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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