HOUSTON
COUGARSHOU
20-2 | Road
77
BYU
COUGARSBYU
17-5 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
COUGARS
0%
COUGARS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
HOU By 1-7 points
1.1%
HOU By 8-14 points
0.1%
BYU By 1-7 points
5.8%
BYU By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
59
HOUSTON
BYU
81
BYU
Simulated Score
Houston
64
HOUSTON
BYU
70
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
BYU @ HOU
66 - 73
Feb 7, 2026
HOU @ BYU
77 - 66
Mar 14, 2025
BYU @ HOU
54 - 74
Jan 4, 2025
BYU @ HOU
55 - 86
Jan 23, 2024
HOU @ BYU
75 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+87.0% more
BYU: 11.8
vs
Houston: 6.3
Blocks (L5)
+44.5% more
BYU: 4.2
vs
Houston: 2.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
BYU: 37.1%
vs
Houston: 29.9%
Steals (L5)
+33.8% more
Houston: 7.6
vs
BYU: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
59.0
77
BYU Score
81.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 29.9
36.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.3 / 15.1
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 48.8
40.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 80.8
57.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 34.6
36.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.0 / 7.6
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 6.3
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
BYU
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
Advantage
18-19-0
(48.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -0.9
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
HOU
BYU
HOU
ML
60%
21-14
70%
26-11
72%
23-9
68%
23-11
ATS
54%
19-16
70%
26-11
72%
23-9
68%
23-11
TTL
69%
24-11
59%
22-15
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
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