Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Hilltoppers FIU @ WKU

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

11-11  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 3:00 PM ET
E.A. Diddle Arena
View Odds Details →

WESTERN KENTUCKY

HILLTOPPERSWKU

12-11  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
HILLTOPPERS
100%
PANTHERS --
HILLTOPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
187.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Florida International)
PanthersFIU (-3.5) 0 HilltoppersWKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

98.2%

Hilltoppers Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FIU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

FIU By 1-7 points

6.8%

FIU By 8-14 points

16.9%

WKU By 1-7 points

1.4%

WKU By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
104
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
83
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
69
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
78
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hilltoppers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Hilltoppers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Win
Proj Total: 187.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 WKU @ FIU 67 - 92
Feb 7, 2026 FIU @ WKU 70 - 80
Mar 11, 2025 FIU @ WKU 64 - 61
Mar 6, 2025 FIU @ WKU 67 - 76
Jan 4, 2025 WKU @ FIU 66 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.9% more
Florida International: 8.7 vs Western Kentucky: 6.8
Turnovers (L5) +20.5% more
Florida International: 12.8 vs Western Kentucky: 10.2
Blocks (L5) +11.1% more
Florida International: 3.2 vs Western Kentucky: 2.9
Field Goal % (L5) +9.8%
Florida International: 44.3% vs Western Kentucky: 34.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FIU Score 104.0 70
WKU Score 83.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.9 / 32.9 35.0 / 41.0
Assists 10.9 / 9.6 18.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.2 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 34.4 / 44.3 37.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 81.2 / 69.1 85.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 39.3 44.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.8 / 8.7 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 12.8 7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FIU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
WKU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FIU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
WKU
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
FIU
WKU
FIU
ML
56% 18-14
58% 18-13
66% 21-11
65% 20-11
ATS
53% 17-15
52% 16-15
66% 21-11
65% 20-11
TTL
56% 18-14
65% 20-11
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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