Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Camels @ Aggies CAM @ NCAT

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

11-13  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:00 PM ET
Corbett Sports Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

9-13  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
📊
AGGIES
100%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Campbell)
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 AggiesNCAT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

95.5%

Aggies Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CAM -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

CAM By 1-7 points

12.2%

CAM By 8-14 points

23.0%

NCAT By 1-7 points

3.3%

NCAT By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
80
CAMPBELL
63
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Simulated Score
65
CAMPBELL
78
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Fighting Camels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Fighting Camels (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 NCAT @ CAM 72 - 90
Feb 7, 2026 CAM @ NCAT 79 - 71
Feb 20, 2025 CAM @ NCAT 50 - 53
Feb 10, 2025 NCAT @ CAM 62 - 66
Mar 2, 2024 NCAT @ CAM 62 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +36.7% more
Campbell: 8.6 vs North Carolina A&T: 5.4
Assists (L5) +32.3% more
Campbell: 13.6 vs North Carolina A&T: 9.2
Field Goal % (L5) +5.9%
Campbell: 48.2% vs North Carolina A&T: 42.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
Campbell: 33.7% vs North Carolina A&T: 29.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 80.0 79
NCAT Score 63.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.3 / 33.7 30.0 / 44.0
Assists 9.2 / 13.6 14.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.0 / 1.1 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 48.2 46.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 81.4 / 75.0 57.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 30.7 34.0 / 39.0
Steals 5.4 / 8.6 10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 11.2 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
NCAT
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCAT
CAM
NCAT
CAM
ML
52% 14-13
65% 22-12
63% 17-10
71% 24-10
ATS
63% 17-10
67% 22-11-1
64% 18-10
71% 24-10
TTL
69% 18-8-1
53% 18-16
100% 28-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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