Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Griffins @ Bobcats CAN @ QUIN

CANISIUS

GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN

8-16  |  Road

60
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 7:00 PM ET
M&T Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

QUINNIPIAC

BOBCATSQUIN

15-9  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
📊
BOBCATS
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS --
BOBCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Golden GriffinsCAN (-3.5) 0 BobcatsQUIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Griffins Cover

30.9%

Bobcats Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUIN -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)

CAN By 1-7 points

18.6%

CAN By 8-14 points

8.0%

QUIN By 1-7 points

27.2%

QUIN By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
66
CANISIUS
71
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
70
CANISIUS
75
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bobcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bobcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bobcats (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Bobcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 QUIN @ CAN 67 - 63
Feb 5, 2026 CAN @ QUIN 60 - 75
Feb 6, 2025 CAN @ QUIN 71 - 89
Mar 13, 2024 CAN @ QUIN 52 - 76
Feb 4, 2024 CAN @ QUIN 63 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +368.0% more
Quinnipiac: 5.9 vs Canisius: 1.3
Assists (L5) +37.0% more
Quinnipiac: 14.9 vs Canisius: 10.9
Rebounding (L5) +23.0% more
Quinnipiac: 37.4 vs Canisius: 30.4
Steals (L5) +16.9% more
Quinnipiac: 6.0 vs Canisius: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAN Score 66.0 60
QUIN Score 71.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.6 / 29.8 37.0 / 45.0
Assists 14.9 / 10.9 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.9 / 1.3 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 41.0 41.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 68.2 / 72.6 72.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 30.4 36.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.1 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 11.1 16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
QUIN Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN Advantage
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
QUIN
13-17-1 (43.3%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4% Total +/-: -3.6
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
CAN
QUIN
CAN
ML
66% 21-11
55% 17-14
53% 17-15
68% 21-10
ATS
59% 19-13
65% 20-11
53% 17-15
68% 21-10
TTL
62% 20-12
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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