Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dragons @ Fighting Camels DREX @ CAM

DREXEL

DRAGONSDREX

12-11  |  Road

60
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 7:00 PM ET
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

10-13  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
100%
📊
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
DRAGONS --
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Campbell)
DragonsDREX (-3.5) 0 Fighting CamelsCAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dragons Cover

0.0%

Fighting Camels Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAM -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

DREX By 1-7 points

0.0%

DREX By 8-14 points

0.0%

CAM By 1-7 points

0.0%

CAM By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
45
DREXEL
91
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
64
DREXEL
68
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Camels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim Fighting Camels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 CAM @ DREX 60 - 65
Feb 5, 2026 DREX @ CAM 60 - 81
Jan 2, 2025 DREX @ CAM 54 - 57
Feb 17, 2024 CAM @ DREX 66 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +34.1%
Campbell: 75.0% vs Drexel: 40.9%
Steals (L5) +29.5% more
Campbell: 6.3 vs Drexel: 4.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
Campbell: 36.0% vs Drexel: 33.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Campbell: 47.3% vs Drexel: 45.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DREX Score 45.0 60
CAM Score 91.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 33.8 29.0 / 20.0
Assists 12.9 / 13.3 15.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.6 / 3.5 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 45.2 50.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 40.9 75.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 30.0 / 34.6 32.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.3 / 4.9 13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 11.3 11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
CAM
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -2.8
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
DREX
CAM
DREX
ML
65% 22-12
58% 19-14
71% 24-10
81% 26-6
ATS
67% 22-11-1
70% 23-10
71% 24-10
81% 26-6
TTL
53% 18-16
48% 16-17
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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