JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
11-10 | Road
71
WESTERN KENTUCKY
HILLTOPPERSWKU
12-10 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
HILLTOPPERS
0%
GAMECOCKS
--
HILLTOPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Western Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WKU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WKU)
JXST By 1-7 points
10.7%
JXST By 8-14 points
3.3%
WKU By 1-7 points
23.0%
WKU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville State
54
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Western Kentucky
64
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Jacksonville State
69
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Western Kentucky
77
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hilltoppers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hilltoppers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hilltoppers (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Hilltoppers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
JXST @ WKU
71 - 66
Dec 29, 2025
WKU @ JXST
67 - 78
Feb 8, 2025
WKU @ JXST
83 - 85
Jan 9, 2025
JXST @ WKU
73 - 67
Feb 10, 2024
WKU @ JXST
70 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+23.4% more
Western Kentucky: 3.3
vs
Jacksonville State: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+14.1% more
Western Kentucky: 11.8
vs
Jacksonville State: 10.3
Rebounding (L5)
+12.1% more
Western Kentucky: 38.1
vs
Jacksonville State: 34.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
Western Kentucky: 77.8%
vs
Jacksonville State: 74.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JXST Score
54.0
71
WKU Score
64.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 29.7
23.0 / 11.0
Assists
11.8 / 10.3
9.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.7
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
36.1 / 44.5
31.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 74.9
88.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
38.1 / 34.0
34.0 / 45.0
Steals
6.2 / 6.7
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 14.2
10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
WKU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
WKU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
JXST
WKU
JXST
ML
56%
18-14
50%
16-16
66%
21-11
55%
17-14
ATS
53%
17-15
62%
20-12
66%
21-11
55%
17-14
TTL
56%
18-14
62%
20-12
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
