WINTHROP
EAGLESWIN
16-8 | Road
80
RADFORD
HIGHLANDERSRAD
13-11 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
HIGHLANDERS
100%
EAGLES
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
187.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RAD +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)
WIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
WIN By 8-14 points
20.1%
RAD By 1-7 points
21.6%
RAD By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Winthrop
95
WINTHROP
Radford
92
RADFORD
Simulated Score
Winthrop
74
WINTHROP
Radford
78
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (+4)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 187.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
WIN @ RAD
80 - 78
Jan 21, 2026
RAD @ WIN
75 - 76
Feb 12, 2025
RAD @ WIN
74 - 78
Jan 4, 2025
WIN @ RAD
67 - 87
Feb 15, 2024
WIN @ RAD
85 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.8% more
Winthrop: 14.1
vs
Radford: 10.5
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Winthrop: 37.3
vs
Radford: 34.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Winthrop: 75.9%
vs
Radford: 72.9%
Steals (L5)
+49.7% more
Radford: 8.6
vs
Winthrop: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIN Score
95.0
80
RAD Score
92.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.7 / 36.4
30.0 / 30.0
Assists
10.5 / 14.1
12.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.4
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 43.4
42.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 75.9
76.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 37.3
41.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.6 / 5.7
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 10.4
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
RAD
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
RAD
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
WIN
RAD
WIN
ML
77%
23-7
70%
23-10
76%
22-7
79%
26-7
ATS
63%
19-11
79%
26-7
77%
23-7
79%
26-7
TTL
67%
20-10
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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