RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
9-13 | Road
66
UCLA
BRUINSUCLA
15-7 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
BRUINS
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (UCLA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCLA -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)
RUTG By 1-7 points
5.8%
RUTG By 8-14 points
1.4%
UCLA By 1-7 points
16.9%
UCLA By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
62
RUTGERS
UCLA
76
UCLA
Simulated Score
Rutgers
69
RUTGERS
UCLA
72
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (-13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
RUTG @ UCLA
59 - 72
Feb 3, 2026
RUTG @ UCLA
66 - 98
Jan 13, 2025
UCLA @ RUTG
68 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+31.5% more
UCLA: 15.1
vs
Rutgers: 11.5
Rebounding (L5)
+24.5% more
UCLA: 37.5
vs
Rutgers: 30.1
Blocks (L5)
+10.8% more
UCLA: 3.8
vs
Rutgers: 3.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
UCLA: 36.9%
vs
Rutgers: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
62.0
66
UCLA Score
76.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 32.4
57.0 / 32.0
Assists
15.1 / 11.5
25.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 39.8
56.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
78.8 / 78.0
89.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 30.1
35.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.3
3.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 8.1
2.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
UCLA
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
UCLA
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
RUTG
UCLA
RUTG
ML
67%
24-12
53%
18-16
76%
25-8
70%
23-10
ATS
61%
22-14
68%
23-11
76%
25-8
70%
23-10
TTL
61%
22-14
53%
18-16
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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