LA
CLIPPERSLAC
22-25 | Road
117
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
30-19 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
SUNS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
LAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
13.7%
PHX By 1-7 points
26.2%
PHX By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
105
LA
Phoenix
106
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
LA
115
LA
Phoenix
118
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o209.5
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Sim
u209.5
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
LAC @ PHX
117 - 93
Nov 8, 2025
PHX @ LAC
114 - 103
Nov 6, 2025
LAC @ PHX
102 - 115
Oct 24, 2025
PHX @ LAC
102 - 129
Mar 4, 2025
LAC @ PHX
117 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+43.8% more
Phoenix: 17.4
vs
LA: 12.1
Blocks (L5)
+31.5% more
Phoenix: 4.4
vs
LA: 3.4
Steals (L5)
+23.7% more
Phoenix: 11.1
vs
LA: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
105.0
117
PHX Score
106.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 37.6
41.0 / 38.0
Assists
24.8 / 25.4
21.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.4
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 48.5
33.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
78.8 / 79.1
67.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
43.2 / 40.3
35.0 / 63.0
Steals
11.1 / 9.0
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
17.4 / 12.1
5.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
LAC
PHX
LAC
ML
57%
60-45
60%
59-40
51%
45-43
55%
45-37
ATS
58%
59-43-3
66%
65-33-1
51%
45-43
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
61-42-2
59%
58-40-1
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
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