AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
100%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
0%
SAINTS
--
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
CANISIUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Canisius)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAN -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAN)
SIE By 1-7 points
0.0%
SIE By 8-14 points
0.0%
CAN By 1-7 points
0.5%
CAN By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Siena
50
SIENA
Canisius
83
CANISIUS
Simulated Score
Siena
69
SIENA
Canisius
74
CANISIUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Griffins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Griffins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Griffins (+8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Golden Griffins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u134.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
SIE @ CAN
78 - 63
Dec 7, 2025
CAN @ SIE
52 - 74
Feb 23, 2025
CAN @ SIE
93 - 88
Dec 8, 2024
SIE @ CAN
66 - 53
Feb 18, 2024
CAN @ SIE
73 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.1% more
Canisius: 6.0
vs
Siena: 4.6
Turnovers (L5)
+25.0% more
Canisius: 12.1
vs
Siena: 9.6
Rebounding (L5)
+12.1% more
Canisius: 35.4
vs
Siena: 31.6
Blocks (L5)
+10.2% more
Canisius: 2.8
vs
Siena: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIE Score
50.0
78
CAN Score
83.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 39.9
40.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.2 / 14.5
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.6
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.3 / 54.2
39.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
62.4 / 82.8
70.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 31.6
33.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.0 / 4.6
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 9.6
14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
CAN
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
CAN
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAN
SIE
CAN
SIE
ML
55%
17-14
66%
23-12
68%
21-10
48%
16-17
ATS
65%
20-11
66%
23-12
68%
21-10
48%
16-17
TTL
58%
18-13
54%
19-16
100%
31-0
100%
33-0