SIENA

SAINTSSIE

15-7  |  Road

78
FINAL
Sun, Feb 1 • 1:00 PM ET
Koessler Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

CANISIUS

GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN

8-14  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
100%
📊
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
0%
SAINTS --
GOLDEN GRIFFINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
CANISIUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Canisius)
SaintsSIE (-3.5) 0 Golden GriffinsCAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Saints Cover

0.0%

Golden Griffins Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAN -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAN)

SIE By 1-7 points

0.0%

SIE By 8-14 points

0.0%

CAN By 1-7 points

0.5%

CAN By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
50
SIENA
83
CANISIUS
Simulated Score
69
SIENA
74
CANISIUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Griffins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Griffins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Griffins (+8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Golden Griffins (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u134.5 Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 1, 2026 SIE @ CAN 78 - 63
Dec 7, 2025 CAN @ SIE 52 - 74
Feb 23, 2025 CAN @ SIE 93 - 88
Dec 8, 2024 SIE @ CAN 66 - 53
Feb 18, 2024 CAN @ SIE 73 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +29.1% more
Canisius: 6.0 vs Siena: 4.6
Turnovers (L5) +25.0% more
Canisius: 12.1 vs Siena: 9.6
Rebounding (L5) +12.1% more
Canisius: 35.4 vs Siena: 31.6
Blocks (L5) +10.2% more
Canisius: 2.8 vs Siena: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIE Score 50.0 78
CAN Score 83.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.5 / 39.9 40.0 / 39.0
Assists 13.2 / 14.5 12.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.6 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.3 / 54.2 39.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 62.4 / 82.8 70.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 35.4 / 31.6 33.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.0 / 4.6 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 9.6 14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
CAN
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
CAN
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -1.9
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4% Total +/-: -3.6