CAMPBELL
FIGHTING CAMELSCAM
9-13 | Road
104
WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
14-7 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
TRIBE
100%
FIGHTING CAMELS
--
TRIBE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
WILLIAM & MARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around W&M +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (W&M)
CAM By 1-7 points
26.8%
CAM By 8-14 points
18.6%
W&M By 1-7 points
23.0%
W&M By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Campbell
86
CAMPBELL
William & Mary
84
WILLIAM & MARY
Simulated Score
Campbell
71
CAMPBELL
William & Mary
76
WILLIAM & MARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Fighting Camels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tribe
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tribe (+8)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Tribe (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o167.0
Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u167.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
W&M @ CAM
83 - 84
Jan 31, 2026
CAM @ W&M
104 - 96
Jan 30, 2025
W&M @ CAM
55 - 96
Jan 18, 2024
CAM @ W&M
77 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.3% more
Campbell: 7.0
vs
William & Mary: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+125.8% more
William & Mary: 4.4
vs
Campbell: 1.9
Assists (L5)
+70.0% more
William & Mary: 19.2
vs
Campbell: 11.3
Rebounding (L5)
+17.1% more
William & Mary: 34.6
vs
Campbell: 29.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAM Score
86.0
104
W&M Score
84.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 34.5
33.0 / 39.0
Assists
19.2 / 11.3
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.4 / 1.9
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 43.9
58.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 73.9
79.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 29.5
28.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.8 / 7.0
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 10.8
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
W&M
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
W&M
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
W&M
CAM
W&M
CAM
ML
55%
17-14
65%
22-12
61%
19-12
71%
24-10
ATS
63%
19-11-1
67%
22-11-1
61%
19-12
71%
24-10
TTL
61%
19-12
53%
18-16
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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