Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Raiders @ Knights TTU @ UCF

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

16-4  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 12:00 PM ET
Addition Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

UCF

KNIGHTSUCF

16-4  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
100%
📊
KNIGHTS
0%
RED RAIDERS --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UCF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (UCF)
Red RaidersTTU (-3.5) 0 KnightsUCF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Raiders Cover

46.0%

Knights Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCF)

TTU By 1-7 points

24.3%

TTU By 8-14 points

13.7%

UCF By 1-7 points

26.2%

UCF By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
51
TEXAS TECH
52
UCF
Simulated Score
75
TEXAS TECH
68
UCF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Raiders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knights (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Red Raiders (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 TTU @ UCF 80 - 88
Dec 31, 2024 UCF @ TTU 87 - 83
Feb 24, 2024 TTU @ UCF 61 - 75
Feb 10, 2024 UCF @ TTU 59 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +22.6% more
UCF: 2.7 vs Texas Tech: 2.2
Steals (L5) +18.9% more
UCF: 5.2 vs Texas Tech: 4.3
Turnovers (L5) +10.0% more
UCF: 11.9 vs Texas Tech: 10.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
Texas Tech: 44.7% vs UCF: 39.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TTU Score 51.0 80
UCF Score 52.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.9 / 44.7 46.0 / 38.0
Assists 15.8 / 16.2 19.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.2 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 48.8 49.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 74.5 / 76.3 82.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 38.2 35.0 / 23.0
Steals 5.2 / 4.3 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 10.8 6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
UCF
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
UCF
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCF
TTU
UCF
TTU
ML
55% 18-15
62% 21-13
65% 20-11
71% 22-9
ATS
55% 18-15
65% 22-12
65% 20-11
71% 22-9
TTL
61% 20-13
59% 20-14
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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