PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
7-13 | Road
64
CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
9-9 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
BIG RED
100%
TIGERS
--
BIG RED
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COR +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
PRIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
PRIN By 8-14 points
20.1%
COR By 1-7 points
21.6%
COR By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Princeton
76
PRINCETON
Cornell
73
CORNELL
Simulated Score
Princeton
70
PRINCETON
Cornell
75
CORNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Red (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Big Red (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
COR @ PRIN
89 - 65
Jan 30, 2026
PRIN @ COR
64 - 87
Mar 2, 2025
PRIN @ COR
70 - 102
Jan 25, 2025
COR @ PRIN
85 - 76
Mar 2, 2024
COR @ PRIN
77 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+23.8% more
Princeton: 3.2
vs
Cornell: 2.5
Steals (L5)
+16.6% more
Princeton: 5.3
vs
Cornell: 4.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.9%
Princeton: 90.4%
vs
Cornell: 77.5%
Assists (L5)
+61.2% more
Cornell: 18.9
vs
Princeton: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score
76.0
64
COR Score
73.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 33.5
39.0 / 29.0
Assists
18.9 / 11.7
23.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.2
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 39.0
64.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 90.4
67.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 34.8
30.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.4 / 5.3
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 7.2
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
COR
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COR
PRIN
COR
PRIN
ML
44%
12-15
45%
13-16
63%
17-10
62%
18-11
ATS
59%
16-11
48%
14-15
63%
17-10
62%
18-11
TTL
78%
21-6
72%
21-8
100%
27-0
100%
29-0
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