Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seawolves @ Fighting Camels STBK @ CAM

STONY BROOK

SEAWOLVESSTBK

12-9  |  Road

81
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 7:00 PM ET
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

9-12  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
SEAWOLVES
100%
📊
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
SEAWOLVES --
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Campbell)
SeawolvesSTBK (-3.5) 0 Fighting CamelsCAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seawolves Cover

0.1%

Fighting Camels Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAM -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

STBK By 1-7 points

0.1%

STBK By 8-14 points

0.0%

CAM By 1-7 points

0.8%

CAM By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
51
STONY BROOK
82
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
69
STONY BROOK
72
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Camels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim Fighting Camels (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 CAM @ STBK 96 - 89
Jan 29, 2026 STBK @ CAM 81 - 69
Jan 23, 2025 CAM @ STBK 79 - 54
Feb 10, 2024 STBK @ CAM 77 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +43.8% more
Campbell: 7.5 vs Stony Brook: 5.2
Blocks (L5) +74.2% more
Stony Brook: 5.4 vs Campbell: 1.4
Assists (L5) +35.1% more
Stony Brook: 18.4 vs Campbell: 11.9
Rebounding (L5) +18.2% more
Stony Brook: 37.0 vs Campbell: 30.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STBK Score 51.0 81
CAM Score 82.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 43.3 36.0 / 43.0
Assists 11.9 / 18.4 10.0 / 15.0
Blocks 1.4 / 5.4 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 49.0 43.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 70.4 / 72.0 81.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 30.3 / 37.0 28.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.5 / 5.2 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 10.9 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STBK Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STBK Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
CAM
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
STBK
CAM
STBK
ML
65% 22-12
61% 19-12
71% 24-10
71% 22-9
ATS
67% 22-11-1
61% 19-12
71% 24-10
71% 22-9
TTL
53% 18-16
65% 20-11
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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