JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
10-9 | Road
78
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
PANTHERSFIU
10-10 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
GAMECOCKS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Jacksonville State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JXST -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)
JXST By 1-7 points
20.1%
JXST By 8-14 points
27.2%
FIU By 1-7 points
8.0%
FIU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville State
74
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Florida International
62
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
Jacksonville State
69
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Florida International
75
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Gamecocks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Gamecocks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
JXST @ FIU
78 - 74
Jan 7, 2026
FIU @ JXST
64 - 71
Mar 12, 2025
FIU @ JXST
56 - 65
Mar 1, 2025
JXST @ FIU
84 - 79
Jan 30, 2025
FIU @ JXST
67 - 71
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.6%
Jacksonville State: 45.4%
vs
Florida International: 34.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
Jacksonville State: 75.5%
vs
Florida International: 66.5%
Steals (L5)
+94.3% more
Florida International: 9.9
vs
Jacksonville State: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+67.2% more
Florida International: 4.3
vs
Jacksonville State: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JXST Score
74.0
78
FIU Score
62.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 45.4
29.0 / 22.0
Assists
12.5 / 11.0
6.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 45.3
44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
66.5 / 75.5
73.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 31.0
36.0 / 34.0
Steals
9.9 / 5.1
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 10.5
19.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
FIU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
FIU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
JXST
FIU
JXST
ML
58%
18-13
50%
16-16
65%
20-11
55%
17-14
ATS
52%
16-15
62%
20-12
65%
20-11
55%
17-14
TTL
65%
20-11
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
