Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Knights LEM @ FDU

LE MOYNE

DOLPHINSLEM

10-10  |  Road

87
FINAL
Mon, Jan 26 • 6:00 PM ET
Bogota Savings Bank Center
View Odds Details →

FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON

KNIGHTSFDU

7-13  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
0%
📊
KNIGHTS
100%
DOLPHINS --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
LE MOYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (Le Moyne)
DolphinsLEM (-3.5) 0 KnightsFDU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

100.0%

Knights Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LEM -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEM)

LEM By 1-7 points

0.0%

LEM By 8-14 points

0.3%

FDU By 1-7 points

0.0%

FDU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
91
LE MOYNE
49
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
74
LE MOYNE
78
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dolphins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dolphins (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 FDU @ LEM 59 - 76
Jan 26, 2026 LEM @ FDU 87 - 74
Jan 30, 2025 LEM @ FDU 74 - 78
Jan 10, 2025 FDU @ LEM 91 - 86
Mar 6, 2024 FDU @ LEM 61 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +50.4% more
Le Moyne: 2.8 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.4
Turnovers (L5) +12.9% more
Le Moyne: 11.4 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 9.9
Rebounding (L5) +9.6% more
Le Moyne: 33.5 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 30.3
Assists (L5) +8.6% more
Le Moyne: 12.9 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LEM Score 91.0 87
FDU Score 49.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.9 / 35.4 14.0 / 62.0
Assists 11.8 / 12.9 11.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.4 / 2.8 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 45.1 34.0 / 60.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 72.0 84.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 30.3 / 33.5 36.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.4 6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 11.4 5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
FDU
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
FDU
10-18-1 (35.7%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +1.1
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0% Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FDU
LEM
FDU
LEM
ML
65% 20-11
68% 21-10
74% 23-8
68% 21-10
ATS
68% 21-10
65% 20-11
74% 23-8
69% 22-10
TTL
58% 18-13
42% 13-18
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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