OREGON
DUCKSORE
8-11 | Road
57
WASHINGTON
HUSKIESWASH
10-9 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
HUSKIES
100%
DUCKS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WASH +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)
ORE By 1-7 points
26.8%
ORE By 8-14 points
18.6%
WASH By 1-7 points
23.0%
WASH By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Oregon
86
OREGON
Washington
84
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Oregon
72
OREGON
Washington
75
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ducks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
WASH @ ORE
79 - 85
Jan 25, 2026
ORE @ WASH
57 - 72
Mar 9, 2025
ORE @ WASH
80 - 73
Jan 21, 2025
WASH @ ORE
71 - 82
Feb 8, 2024
WASH @ ORE
80 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+35.7% more
Oregon: 6.1
vs
Washington: 3.9
Turnovers (L5)
+15.1% more
Oregon: 11.5
vs
Washington: 9.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Oregon: 32.5%
vs
Washington: 25.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.9%
Washington: 73.4%
vs
Oregon: 59.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORE Score
86.0
57
WASH Score
84.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.9 / 32.5
48.0 / 20.0
Assists
13.7 / 12.1
15.0 / 4.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.8
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 41.1
42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 59.5
62.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 30.2
45.0 / 23.0
Steals
3.9 / 6.1
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 11.5
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
WASH
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
ORE
WASH
ORE
ML
45%
15-18
56%
18-14
66%
21-11
62%
18-11
ATS
48%
16-17
56%
18-14
66%
21-11
62%
18-11
TTL
70%
23-10
59%
19-13
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
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