WINTHROP
EAGLESWIN
14-8 | Road
82
PRESBYTERIAN
BLUE HOSEPRES
11-10 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
BLUE HOSE
100%
EAGLES
--
BLUE HOSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Winthrop)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WIN -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)
WIN By 1-7 points
26.8%
WIN By 8-14 points
24.3%
PRES By 1-7 points
16.9%
PRES By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Winthrop
71
WINTHROP
Presbyterian
65
PRESBYTERIAN
Simulated Score
Winthrop
76
WINTHROP
Presbyterian
72
PRESBYTERIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Eagles (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
PRES @ WIN
71 - 73
Feb 28, 2026
PRES @ WIN
70 - 74
Jan 24, 2026
WIN @ PRES
82 - 72
Feb 19, 2025
WIN @ PRES
81 - 77
Jan 29, 2025
PRES @ WIN
67 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.1% more
Winthrop: 14.6
vs
Presbyterian: 11.8
Turnovers (L5)
+12.1% more
Winthrop: 11.9
vs
Presbyterian: 10.4
Rebounding (L5)
+12.0% more
Winthrop: 38.2
vs
Presbyterian: 33.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.4%
Winthrop: 68.5%
vs
Presbyterian: 64.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIN Score
71.0
82
PRES Score
65.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
45.2 / 37.3
21.0 / 26.0
Assists
11.8 / 14.6
10.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.0 / 2.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
53.5 / 43.4
41.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
64.1 / 68.5
88.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 38.2
35.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.1 / 6.4
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 11.9
14.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
PRES
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRES
WIN
PRES
WIN
ML
69%
22-10
70%
23-10
80%
24-6
79%
26-7
ATS
59%
19-13
79%
26-7
80%
24-6
79%
26-7
TTL
59%
19-13
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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