AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
TIGERS
100%
REDHAWKS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEA -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-7 points
0.0%
SEA By 8-14 points
0.1%
PAC By 1-7 points
0.0%
PAC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
103
SEATTLE U
Pacific
58
PACIFIC
Simulated Score
Seattle U
72
SEATTLE U
Pacific
68
PACIFIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
SEA @ PAC
58 - 61
Jan 24, 2026
SEA @ PAC
54 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.6% more
Seattle U: 3.1
vs
Pacific: 1.7
Steals (L5)
+34.3% more
Seattle U: 9.0
vs
Pacific: 5.9
Assists (L5)
+30.0% more
Pacific: 15.8
vs
Seattle U: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+19.8% more
Pacific: 36.5
vs
Seattle U: 30.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
103.0
54
PAC Score
58.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.5 / 28.8
25.0 / 40.0
Assists
15.8 / 12.1
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.7 / 3.1
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 39.9
44.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 71.3
50.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 30.4
39.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.9 / 9.0
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 11.4
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
PAC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PAC
SEA
PAC
SEA
ML
45%
15-18
46%
16-19
80%
24-6
71%
24-10
ATS
55%
18-15
57%
20-15
80%
24-6
71%
24-10
TTL
58%
19-14
49%
17-18
100%
30-0
100%
34-0