Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawks @ Fighting Camels MONM @ CAM

MONMOUTH

HAWKSMONM

9-11  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 12:00 PM ET
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

9-11  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
📊
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
HAWKS --
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Campbell)
HawksMONM (-3.5) 0 Fighting CamelsCAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

18.4%

Fighting Camels Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAM -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

MONM By 1-7 points

12.2%

MONM By 8-14 points

4.0%

CAM By 1-7 points

24.3%

CAM By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
66
MONMOUTH
75
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
68
MONMOUTH
72
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Camels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels (-5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Fighting Camels (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.0 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u148.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 CAM @ MONM 64 - 74
Jan 24, 2026 MONM @ CAM 88 - 73
Dec 31, 2025 CAM @ MONM 68 - 65
Jan 18, 2025 MONM @ CAM 58 - 81
Mar 9, 2024 CAM @ MONM 67 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +10.8%
Campbell: 71.1% vs Monmouth: 60.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Campbell: 47.1% vs Monmouth: 42.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
Campbell: 37.2% vs Monmouth: 34.4%
Blocks (L5) +63.4% more
Monmouth: 4.4 vs Campbell: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MONM Score 66.0 88
CAM Score 75.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.2 / 34.4 27.0 / 53.0
Assists 12.9 / 14.8 10.0 / 21.0
Blocks 1.6 / 4.4 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 42.2 39.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 71.1 / 60.3 69.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 36.0 27.0 / 43.0
Steals 7.2 / 7.3 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 12.9 8.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
7%MONEY93%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.1
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
MONM
CAM
MONM
ML
65% 22-12
62% 21-13
71% 24-10
64% 21-12
ATS
67% 22-11-1
62% 21-13
71% 24-10
64% 21-12
TTL
53% 18-16
59% 20-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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