Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cougars @ Red Raiders HOU @ TTU

HOUSTON

COUGARSHOU

17-1  |  Road

86
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 2:00 PM ET
United Supermarkets Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

15-4  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
📊
RED RAIDERS
100%
COUGARS --
RED RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Houston)
CougarsHOU (-3.5) 0 Red RaidersTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

99.8%

Red Raiders Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

HOU By 1-7 points

1.4%

HOU By 8-14 points

5.8%

TTU By 1-7 points

0.1%

TTU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
96
HOUSTON
67
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
62
HOUSTON
68
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cougars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cougars (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Red Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 HOU @ TTU 86 - 90
Jan 6, 2026 TTU @ HOU 65 - 69
Feb 24, 2025 HOU @ TTU 69 - 61
Feb 1, 2025 TTU @ HOU 82 - 81
Mar 15, 2024 TTU @ HOU 59 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +35.2% more
Houston: 9.3 vs Texas Tech: 6.0
Blocks (L5) +32.7% more
Houston: 4.8 vs Texas Tech: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5) +5.4%
Houston: 79.8% vs Texas Tech: 74.4%
Turnovers (L5) +44.2% more
Texas Tech: 11.2 vs Houston: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOU Score 96.0 86
TTU Score 67.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 46.6 / 36.4 41.0 / 39.0
Assists 16.3 / 16.9 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.8 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 51.2 / 46.7 44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 79.8 80.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 35.4 / 36.4 44.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.0 / 9.3 1.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 7.8 10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU Advantage
30-7-0 (81.1%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
TTU
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
18-19-0 (48.7%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
TTU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5% Total +/-: -0.9
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
HOU
TTU
HOU
ML
62% 21-13
70% 26-11
71% 22-9
68% 23-11
ATS
65% 22-12
70% 26-11
71% 22-9
68% 23-11
TTL
59% 20-14
59% 22-15
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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