INDIANA
HOOSIERSIU
12-7 | Road
82
RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
9-10 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
HOOSIERS
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
HOOSIERS
--
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IU -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)
IU By 1-7 points
0.1%
IU By 8-14 points
0.8%
RUTG By 1-7 points
0.0%
RUTG By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
86
INDIANA
Rutgers
48
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Indiana
65
INDIANA
Rutgers
72
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hoosiers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hoosiers (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 23, 2026
IU @ RUTG
82 - 59
Jan 2, 2025
RUTG @ IU
74 - 84
Jan 9, 2024
IU @ RUTG
57 - 66
Feb 7, 2023
RUTG @ IU
60 - 66
Dec 3, 2022
IU @ RUTG
48 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+13.3% more
Indiana: 13.4
vs
Rutgers: 11.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
Indiana: 78.8%
vs
Rutgers: 73.6%
Blocks (L5)
+103.0% more
Rutgers: 4.0
vs
Indiana: 2.0
Steals (L5)
+34.1% more
Rutgers: 5.8
vs
Indiana: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IU Score
86.0
82
RUTG Score
48.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 31.6
26.0 / 43.0
Assists
11.7 / 13.4
6.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.0 / 2.0
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 41.9
36.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 78.8
86.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 27.7
27.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.8 / 4.3
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 10.8
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -1.8
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IU
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -1.8
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -0.7
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
IU
RUTG
IU
ML
53%
18-16
66%
21-11
70%
23-10
71%
22-9
ATS
68%
23-11
53%
17-15
70%
23-10
71%
22-9
TTL
53%
18-16
56%
18-14
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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