Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Griffins @ Pioneers CAN @ SHU

CANISIUS

GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN

8-11  |  Road

66
FINAL
Thu, Jan 22 • 7:00 PM ET
William H. Pitt Center
View Odds Details →

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

7-13  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
📊
PIONEERS
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS --
PIONEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Sacred Heart)
Golden GriffinsCAN (-3.5) 0 PioneersSHU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Griffins Cover

5.5%

Pioneers Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SHU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)

CAN By 1-7 points

4.0%

CAN By 8-14 points

0.8%

SHU By 1-7 points

13.7%

SHU By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
53
CANISIUS
69
SACRED HEART
Simulated Score
70
CANISIUS
78
SACRED HEART
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pioneers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pioneers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pioneers (-10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Pioneers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 CAN @ SHU 66 - 69
Jan 4, 2026 SHU @ CAN 78 - 82
Jan 23, 2025 SHU @ CAN 93 - 84
Jan 5, 2025 CAN @ SHU 82 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +49.8% more
Sacred Heart: 17.4 vs Canisius: 11.6
Blocks (L5) +14.4% more
Sacred Heart: 3.2 vs Canisius: 2.8
Rebounding (L5) +12.4% more
Sacred Heart: 36.2 vs Canisius: 32.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.2%
Sacred Heart: 43.5% vs Canisius: 32.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAN Score 53.0 66
SHU Score 69.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.5 / 32.3 41.0 / 40.0
Assists 17.4 / 11.6 19.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.8 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 37.7 43.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 78.4 / 83.8 50.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 32.2 38.0 / 37.0
Steals 4.5 / 6.5 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 10.1 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
SHU Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
SHU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4% Total +/-: -3.6
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHU
CAN
SHU
CAN
ML
61% 20-13
55% 17-14
73% 24-9
68% 21-10
ATS
76% 25-8
65% 20-11
73% 24-9
68% 21-10
TTL
58% 19-14
58% 18-13
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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