AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
COUGARS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Charleston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
CAM By 1-7 points
9.3%
CAM By 8-14 points
2.7%
COFC By 1-7 points
21.6%
COFC By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Campbell
72
CAMPBELL
Charleston
83
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
Campbell
65
CAMPBELL
Charleston
78
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
COFC @ CAM
62 - 57
Jan 22, 2026
CAM @ COFC
83 - 87
Mar 1, 2025
CAM @ COFC
65 - 87
Jan 16, 2025
COFC @ CAM
67 - 61
Feb 29, 2024
CAM @ COFC
73 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+117.3% more
Charleston: 4.2
vs
Campbell: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+23.8% more
Charleston: 41.4
vs
Campbell: 33.4
Assists (L5)
+23.4% more
Charleston: 14.6
vs
Campbell: 11.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
Charleston: 75.8%
vs
Campbell: 73.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAM Score
72.0
83
COFC Score
83.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 34.8
40.0 / 42.0
Assists
14.6 / 11.9
12.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.2 / 1.9
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 47.2
56.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 73.2
79.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
41.4 / 33.4
32.0 / 29.0
Steals
4.9 / 6.3
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.7
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
CAM
COFC
CAM
ML
66%
19-10
65%
22-12
62%
18-11
71%
24-10
ATS
59%
17-12
67%
22-11-1
62%
18-11
71%
24-10
TTL
68%
19-9-1
53%
18-16
100%
29-0
100%
34-0