RADFORD
HIGHLANDERSRAD
11-9 | Road
75
WINTHROP
EAGLESWIN
13-8 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
EAGLES
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
187.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Winthrop)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)
RAD By 1-7 points
21.6%
RAD By 8-14 points
10.7%
WIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
WIN By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Radford
92
RADFORD
Winthrop
95
WINTHROP
Simulated Score
Radford
70
RADFORD
Winthrop
82
WINTHROP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o165.5
Loss
Proj Total: 187.0
D
Sim
u165.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
WIN @ RAD
80 - 78
Jan 21, 2026
RAD @ WIN
75 - 76
Feb 12, 2025
RAD @ WIN
74 - 78
Jan 4, 2025
WIN @ RAD
67 - 87
Feb 15, 2024
WIN @ RAD
85 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+28.4% more
Winthrop: 43.2
vs
Radford: 33.7
Steals (L5)
+19.8% more
Winthrop: 6.1
vs
Radford: 5.1
Turnovers (L5)
+19.1% more
Winthrop: 11.8
vs
Radford: 9.9
Assists (L5)
+12.9% more
Winthrop: 13.8
vs
Radford: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RAD Score
92.0
75
WIN Score
95.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 34.1
46.0 / 41.0
Assists
13.8 / 12.3
16.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.5
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 47.3
47.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 72.3
63.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
43.2 / 33.7
28.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.1 / 5.1
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 9.9
12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RAD
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
WIN
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RAD
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
WIN
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIN
RAD
WIN
RAD
ML
70%
23-10
77%
23-7
79%
26-7
76%
22-7
ATS
79%
26-7
63%
19-11
79%
26-7
77%
23-7
TTL
58%
19-14
67%
20-10
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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