LA
CLIPPERSLAC
18-23 | Road
110
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
10-31 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
WIZARDS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
LAC By 1-7 points
20.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
9.3%
WSH By 1-7 points
27.4%
WSH By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
104
LA
Washington
108
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
LA
108
LA
Washington
120
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wizards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wizards (+7)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Wizards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
LAC @ WSH
110 - 106
Jan 14, 2026
WSH @ LAC
105 - 119
Jan 23, 2025
WSH @ LAC
93 - 110
Nov 27, 2024
LAC @ WSH
121 - 96
Mar 1, 2024
WSH @ LAC
115 - 140
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+13.2% more
Washington: 42.8
vs
LA: 37.8
Blocks (L5)
+9.1% more
Washington: 4.4
vs
LA: 4.1
Steals (L5)
+18.1% more
LA: 10.3
vs
Washington: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.6%
LA: 87.4%
vs
Washington: 72.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
104.0
110
WSH Score
108.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 38.0
37.0 / 18.0
Assists
22.6 / 23.7
27.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.1
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 48.7
43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 87.4
86.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
42.8 / 37.8
45.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.4 / 10.3
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 13.2
20.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
LAC
WSH
LAC
ML
70%
112-49
60%
59-40
47%
39-44
55%
45-37
ATS
69%
111-49-1
66%
65-33-1
47%
39-44
55%
45-37
TTL
74%
119-41-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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