CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
7-9 | Road
89
BROWN
BEARSBRWN
7-9 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
0%
BEARS
100%
BIG RED
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Cornell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COR -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
COR By 1-7 points
2.7%
COR By 8-14 points
9.3%
BRWN By 1-7 points
0.4%
BRWN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
80
CORNELL
Brown
54
BROWN
Simulated Score
Cornell
72
CORNELL
Brown
74
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Big Red
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Big Red (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
BRWN @ COR
80 - 86
Jan 19, 2026
COR @ BRWN
89 - 67
Feb 22, 2025
COR @ BRWN
85 - 81
Jan 20, 2025
BRWN @ COR
83 - 82
Feb 24, 2024
BRWN @ COR
78 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Cornell: 78.2%
vs
Brown: 70.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Cornell: 33.5%
vs
Brown: 25.7%
Steals (L5)
+114.5% more
Brown: 8.5
vs
Cornell: 3.9
Blocks (L5)
+38.0% more
Brown: 3.9
vs
Cornell: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
80.0
89
BRWN Score
54.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.7 / 33.5
32.0 / 41.0
Assists
18.6 / 19.1
11.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.8
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 42.7
45.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 78.2
100.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 34.7
29.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.5 / 3.9
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 10.8
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
COR
BRWN
COR
ML
56%
15-12
44%
12-15
67%
18-9
63%
17-10
ATS
59%
16-11
59%
16-11
67%
18-9
63%
17-10
TTL
59%
16-11
78%
21-6
100%
27-0
100%
27-0
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