Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Cougars LEM @ CHST

LE MOYNE

DOLPHINSLEM

7-10  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 2:00 PM ET
Jones Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO STATE

COUGARSCHST

2-15  |  Home

57
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
0%
📊
COUGARS
100%
DOLPHINS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
LE MOYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (Le Moyne)
DolphinsLEM (-3.5) 0 CougarsCHST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

100.0%

Cougars Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LEM -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEM)

LEM By 1-7 points

0.0%

LEM By 8-14 points

0.0%

CHST By 1-7 points

0.0%

CHST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
104
LE MOYNE
56
CHICAGO STATE
Simulated Score
65
LE MOYNE
70
CHICAGO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dolphins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dolphins (+6) Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.0 Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u147.0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 CHST @ LEM 63 - 81
Jan 17, 2026 LEM @ CHST 72 - 57
Feb 15, 2025 CHST @ LEM 75 - 80
Jan 18, 2025 LEM @ CHST 72 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +62.4% more
Le Moyne: 3.3 vs Chicago State: 1.2
Turnovers (L5) +24.8% more
Le Moyne: 11.8 vs Chicago State: 8.9
Rebounding (L5) +21.5% more
Le Moyne: 36.5 vs Chicago State: 28.7
Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
Le Moyne: 41.7% vs Chicago State: 39.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LEM Score 104.0 72
CHST Score 56.0 57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 27.0 40.0 / 27.0
Assists 11.0 / 11.4 16.0 / 17.0
Blocks 1.2 / 3.3 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.8 / 41.7 43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 79.5 / 71.2 56.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 28.7 / 36.5 27.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.5 / 6.2 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 11.8 14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
CHST
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
CHST
15-15-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +1.1
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHST
LEM
CHST
LEM
ML
75% 24-8
68% 21-10
73% 22-8
68% 21-10
ATS
69% 22-10
65% 20-11
73% 22-8
69% 22-10
TTL
44% 14-18
42% 13-18
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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