Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Camels @ Seahawks CAM @ UNCW

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

9-9  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Trask Coliseum
View Odds Details →

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

16-2  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 SeahawksUNCW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

0.0%

Seahawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCW -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)

CAM By 1-7 points

0.0%

CAM By 8-14 points

0.0%

UNCW By 1-7 points

0.0%

UNCW By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
41
CAMPBELL
83
UNC WILMINGTON
Simulated Score
69
CAMPBELL
78
UNC WILMINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 CAM @ UNCW 85 - 70
Feb 21, 2026 UNCW @ CAM 73 - 68
Jan 17, 2026 CAM @ UNCW 75 - 78
Feb 27, 2025 UNCW @ CAM 79 - 60
Jan 4, 2025 CAM @ UNCW 69 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +148.4% more
UNC Wilmington: 4.6 vs Campbell: 1.9
Rebounding (L5) +21.1% more
UNC Wilmington: 39.6 vs Campbell: 32.7
Assists (L5) +10.6% more
UNC Wilmington: 14.1 vs Campbell: 12.8
Steals (L5) +15.4% more
Campbell: 6.5 vs UNC Wilmington: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 41.0 75
UNCW Score 83.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 38.7 29.0 / 27.0
Assists 14.1 / 12.8 12.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.6 / 1.9 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 46.2 47.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 61.9 / 74.3 80.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 39.6 / 32.7 31.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.5 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 10.6 7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
UNCW
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCW
CAM
UNCW
CAM
ML
64% 21-12
65% 22-12
52% 17-16
71% 24-10
ATS
58% 19-14
67% 22-11-1
52% 17-16
71% 24-10
TTL
61% 20-13
53% 18-16
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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