CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
11-6 | Road
52
TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
9-9 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
TIGERS
0%
COUGARS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Towson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOW -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)
COFC By 1-7 points
2.2%
COFC By 8-14 points
0.4%
TOW By 1-7 points
9.3%
TOW By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston
62
CHARLESTON
Towson
81
TOWSON
Simulated Score
Charleston
79
CHARLESTON
Towson
72
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Cougars (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
TOW @ COFC
81 - 56
Jan 15, 2026
COFC @ TOW
52 - 61
Jan 4, 2025
TOW @ COFC
69 - 77
Mar 11, 2024
TOW @ COFC
56 - 61
Feb 24, 2024
COFC @ TOW
72 - 56
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Towson: 35.5%
vs
Charleston: 32.3%
Blocks (L5)
+69.5% more
Charleston: 5.6
vs
Towson: 1.7
Assists (L5)
+28.1% more
Charleston: 14.1
vs
Towson: 10.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Charleston: 48.7%
vs
Towson: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COFC Score
62.0
52
TOW Score
81.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 32.3
15.0 / 29.0
Assists
10.2 / 14.1
9.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.7 / 5.6
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 48.7
34.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 74.9
88.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
38.6 / 36.4
41.0 / 43.0
Steals
4.9 / 4.7
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 12.2
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
TOW
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
TOW
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
COFC
TOW
COFC
ML
66%
21-11
66%
19-10
62%
20-12
62%
18-11
ATS
66%
21-11
59%
17-12
62%
20-12
62%
18-11
TTL
53%
17-15
68%
19-9-1
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
Houston Cougars Set for Nationally Televised Road Battle at Kans…