Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Grizzlies @ Panthers OAK @ MILW

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

9-9  |  Road

73
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 7:00 PM ET
UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

8-10  |  Home

60
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Milwaukee)
Golden GrizzliesOAK (-3.5) 0 PanthersMILW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Grizzlies Cover

0.8%

Panthers Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MILW -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)

OAK By 1-7 points

0.6%

OAK By 8-14 points

0.1%

MILW By 1-7 points

4.0%

MILW By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
57
OAKLAND
81
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
72
OAKLAND
78
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u167.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u167.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 MILW @ OAK 70 - 81
Jan 15, 2026 OAK @ MILW 73 - 60
Mar 6, 2025 OAK @ MILW 72 - 64
Feb 27, 2025 OAK @ MILW 66 - 71
Jan 2, 2025 MILW @ OAK 49 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.8% more
Milwaukee: 10.4 vs Oakland: 8.8
Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Milwaukee: 49.7% vs Oakland: 47.2%
Steals (L5) +51.2% more
Oakland: 9.4 vs Milwaukee: 4.6
Blocks (L5) +42.4% more
Oakland: 4.7 vs Milwaukee: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAK Score 57.0 73
MILW Score 81.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 32.8 10.0 / 25.0
Assists 12.9 / 15.0 14.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.7 / 4.7 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.7 / 47.2 34.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 66.1 / 79.2 56.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 34.7 / 33.5 43.0 / 43.0
Steals 4.6 / 9.4 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 8.8 13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MILW
OAK
MILW
OAK
ML
50% 16-16
62% 20-12
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
ATS
47% 15-17
50% 16-16
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
TTL
59% 19-13
62% 20-12
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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