CANISIUS
GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN
8-8 | Road
48
IONA
GAELSIONA
11-6 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
0%
GAELS
100%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
--
GAELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IONA +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)
CAN By 1-7 points
27.4%
CAN By 8-14 points
21.6%
IONA By 1-7 points
20.1%
IONA By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Canisius
66
CANISIUS
Iona
62
IONA
Simulated Score
Canisius
68
CANISIUS
Iona
75
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Griffins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gaels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gaels (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Gaels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
IONA @ CAN
69 - 63
Jan 11, 2026
CAN @ IONA
48 - 74
Mar 2, 2025
IONA @ CAN
82 - 52
Jan 16, 2025
CAN @ IONA
61 - 82
Feb 10, 2024
IONA @ CAN
69 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.0% more
Canisius: 15.8
vs
Iona: 13.0
Blocks (L5)
+16.5% more
Canisius: 3.2
vs
Iona: 2.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
Canisius: 33.9%
vs
Iona: 26.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.6%
Canisius: 76.6%
vs
Iona: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAN Score
66.0
48
IONA Score
62.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.6 / 33.9
46.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.0 / 15.8
21.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.2
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 42.6
54.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 76.6
50.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 35.3
42.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.1
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 11.4
13.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
IONA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
IONA
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4%
Total +/-: -3.6
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
CAN
IONA
CAN
ML
41%
13-19
55%
17-14
62%
20-12
68%
21-10
ATS
53%
17-15
65%
20-11
62%
20-12
68%
21-10
TTL
66%
21-11
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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