Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Camels @ Phoenix CAM @ ELON

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

9-8  |  Road

82
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Schar Center
View Odds Details →

ELON

PHOENIXELON

10-6  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
📊
PHOENIX
100%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
PHOENIX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
187.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Campbell)
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 PhoenixELON (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

75.8%

Phoenix Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CAM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

CAM By 1-7 points

26.2%

CAM By 8-14 points

25.3%

ELON By 1-7 points

15.3%

ELON By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
97
CAMPBELL
90
ELON
Simulated Score
72
CAMPBELL
76
ELON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Fighting Camels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Phoenix Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Fighting Camels (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Phoenix (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o160.5 Win
Proj Total: 187.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 CAM @ ELON 82 - 83
Feb 6, 2025 ELON @ CAM 58 - 76
Jan 13, 2025 CAM @ ELON 68 - 81
Feb 1, 2024 CAM @ ELON 69 - 67
Jan 25, 2024 ELON @ CAM 68 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +15.0% more
Campbell: 11.9 vs Elon: 10.1
Free Throw % (L5) +8.1%
Campbell: 75.9% vs Elon: 67.8%
Blocks (L5) +102.3% more
Elon: 2.6 vs Campbell: 1.3
Assists (L5) +71.2% more
Elon: 17.4 vs Campbell: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 97.0 82
ELON Score 90.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 35.0 47.0 / 46.0
Assists 17.4 / 10.2 18.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.6 / 1.3 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 45.4 56.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 75.9 40.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 33.5 35.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.8 / 7.2 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 11.9 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
ELON
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
ELON
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ELON
CAM
ELON
CAM
ML
61% 19-12
65% 22-12
71% 22-9
71% 24-10
ATS
55% 17-14
67% 22-11-1
71% 22-9
71% 24-10
TTL
52% 16-15
53% 18-16
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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