Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Griffins @ Jaspers CAN @ MAN

CANISIUS

GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN

7-8  |  Road

70
FINAL
Fri, Jan 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Draddy Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

MANHATTAN

JASPERSMAN

7-9  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
📊
JASPERS
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS --
JASPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
MANHATTAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Manhattan)
Golden GriffinsCAN (-3.5) 0 JaspersMAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Griffins Cover

13.6%

Jaspers Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MAN -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MAN)

CAN By 1-7 points

9.3%

CAN By 8-14 points

2.7%

MAN By 1-7 points

21.6%

MAN By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
66
CANISIUS
77
MANHATTAN
Simulated Score
67
CANISIUS
71
MANHATTAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jaspers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaspers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jaspers (-7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Jaspers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 MAN @ CAN 69 - 65
Jan 9, 2026 CAN @ MAN 70 - 64
Feb 28, 2025 MAN @ CAN 77 - 72
Mar 9, 2024 CAN @ MAN 73 - 70
Jan 26, 2024 MAN @ CAN 70 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +25.2% more
Manhattan: 7.7 vs Canisius: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5) +11.0%
Manhattan: 84.4% vs Canisius: 73.4%
Blocks (L5) +8.2% more
Manhattan: 2.0 vs Canisius: 1.8
Turnovers (L5) +20.4% more
Canisius: 12.6 vs Manhattan: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAN Score 66.0 70
MAN Score 77.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 36.4 30.0 / 29.0
Assists 11.6 / 13.2 14.0 / 21.0
Blocks 2.0 / 1.8 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 43.9 39.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 84.4 / 73.4 90.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 32.0 35.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.7 / 6.1 2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 12.6 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
MAN Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN Advantage
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
MAN
11-19-1 (36.7%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4% Total +/-: -3.6
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MAN
CAN
MAN
CAN
ML
52% 16-15
55% 17-14
68% 21-10
68% 21-10
ATS
52% 16-15
65% 20-11
69% 22-10
68% 21-10
TTL
77% 24-7
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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